UMA Disputed Markets Dashboard

Real-time Oracle Voting Analytics for Disputed Polymarket Resolutions

Commit Stage Active

1.50M total votes committed by 39 voters

Time until Reveal Stage
00:00:00
Hours : Minutes : Seconds
1.5M / 25.5M
Committed / Total Stake
Consensus req: 16.57M
$1.41M
24h Volume
39
Markets

Large Unrevealed Voters (>25K tokens)

Token Power
80.3%
1.21M of 1.50M
Voter Share
17.9%
7 of 39 voters

Individual Voters (7)

Disputed Markets Under UMA Review

39 unique markets(1 older version hidden)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a "Yes" option within the "Time 2025 Person of the Year" market (https://polymarket.com/event/time-2025-person-of-the-year?) is priced over 90 cents for a majority of minutes during any one-hour period ending at least 4 hours before the same option is officially revealed to be the Time person of the Year. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Time 2025 Person of the Year is officially revealed before the above-stated requirement has been met, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, this market is not resolved and the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Time 2025 Person of the Year” market. This data may be viewed through the linked bar-chart interfaces below or via the “Resolution” tabs with the time window set to the specified one-hour period. Both interfaces reflect the same underlying dataset. Additional tracking links will be provided if necessary. AI: https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-time-2025-person-of-the-year-be-leaked-artificial-intelligence Jensen Huang: https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-time-2025-person-of-the-year-be-leaked-jensen-huang Sam Altman: https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-time-2025-person-of-the-year-be-leaked-sam-altman Pope Leo XIV: https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-time-2025-person-of-the-year-be-leaked-pope-leo-xiv Donald Trump: https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-time-2025-person-of-the-year-be-leaked-donald-trump Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com. market_id: 903803 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
2
23 (+19)12
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? - 1765438215
10 (+10)911h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839528 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457071
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839530 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457115
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839535 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+9)9
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457227
9 (+9)99h ago
Too Early 63%
(80%🌳33%🌱)
No 38%
(20%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839534 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+9)9
Will Zohran Mamdani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457225
9 (+9)99h ago
Too Early 63%
(80%🌳33%🌱)
No 38%
(20%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839533 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457129
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839531 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457117
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839529 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Bad Bunny be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457489
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839546 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+9)9
Will Charlie Kirk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457399
9 (+9)99h ago
Too Early 63%
(80%🌳33%🌱)
No 38%
(20%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839550 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+9)9
Will Geoffrey Hinton be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457389
9 (+9)99h ago
Too Early 63%
(80%🌳33%🌱)
No 38%
(20%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839556 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+9)9
Will Sundar Pichai be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457379
9 (+9)99h ago
Too Early 63%
(80%🌳33%🌱)
No 38%
(20%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839537 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
10 (+10)10
Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457131
10 (+10)109h ago
Too Early 78%
(86%🌳50%🌱)
No 22%
(14%🌳50%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839532 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457119
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839540 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
12 (+12)12
Will Xi Jinping be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457235
12 (+12)129h ago
Too Early 73%
(86%🌳50%🌱)
No 27%
(14%🌳50%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839540 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
12 (+12)12
Will Xi Jinping be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457235
12 (+12)129h ago
Too Early 73%
(86%🌳50%🌱)
No 27%
(14%🌳50%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839543 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
10 (+10)10
Will María Corina Machado be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457251
10 (+10)109h ago
Too Early 67%
(83%🌳33%🌱)
No 33%
(17%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839536 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
12 (+12)12
Will Jerome Powell be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457229
12 (+12)125h ago
Too Early 73%
(88%🌳33%🌱)
No 27%
(13%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839558 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)10
Will Shohei Ohtani be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457371
11 (+11)109h ago
Too Early 67%
(83%🌳33%🌱)
No 33%
(17%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839545 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
10 (+10)10
Will Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457253
10 (+10)109h ago
Too Early 67%
(83%🌳33%🌱)
No 33%
(17%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839541 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
8 (+8)8
Will JD Vance be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457235
8 (+8)89h ago
Too Early 57%
(75%🌳33%🌱)
No 43%
(25%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839541 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
8 (+8)8
Will JD Vance be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457235
8 (+8)89h ago
Too Early 57%
(75%🌳33%🌱)
No 43%
(25%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839560 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
12 (+12)12
Will Ariana Grande be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457331
12 (+12)129h ago
Too Early 64%
(75%🌳33%🌱)
No 36%
(25%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839542 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
10 (+10)10
Will Vladimir Putin be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457237
10 (+10)109h ago
Too Early 78%
(86%🌳50%🌱)
No 22%
(14%🌳50%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839547 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+9)9
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457397
9 (+9)99h ago
Too Early 63%
(80%🌳33%🌱)
No 38%
(20%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839538 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
10 (+10)10
Will Kendrick Lamar be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457233
10 (+10)109h ago
Too Early 67%
(83%🌳33%🌱)
No 33%
(17%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839553 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
10 (+10)10
Will ChatGPT be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457383
10 (+10)109h ago
Too Early 78%
(86%🌳50%🌱)
No 22%
(14%🌳50%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839557 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Mustafa Suleyman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457375
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839549 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Demis Hassabis be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457391
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839552 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Sanae Takaichi be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457385
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839544 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Ursula von der Leyen be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457251
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839555 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
13 (+13)13
Will Maggie Kang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457379
13 (+13)139h ago
Too Early 75%
(86%🌳60%🌱)
No 25%
(14%🌳40%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839559 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Giorgia Meloni be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457357
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839551 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will Dario Amodei be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457387
11 (+11)119h ago
Too Early 70%
(86%🌳33%🌱)
No 30%
(14%🌳67%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time. market_id: 839554 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
10 (+10)10
Will Christine Lagarde be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? - 1765457383
10 (+10)109h ago
Too Early 67%
(83%🌳33%🌱)
No 33%
(17%🌳67%🌱)

9769e692ba29c2b41ab0a400d59e48c8b6ca560359d12d6793c055a43caac9a5?

0

b3f729ff587a0995e100f730ea2cb8442897ff563d1323de5ae8365a6764204e market_id: 20 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0xa68F6B97f605f22ba6A8420460dafB5B5BC35A20 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
20 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 7
9769e692ba29c2b41ab0a400d59e48c8b6ca560359d12d6793c055a43caac9a5? - 1765288798
9 71d ago

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4AM ET

0

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. market_id: 899242 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Down, p2 to Up, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
39 Votes
Community Discussion
1
3 3
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4AM ET - 1765360800
3 31d ago
Yes 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)

Will Adobe say "3D" during earnings call?

0

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Adobe currently scheduled to take place on December 10, 2025 at 5:00 PM EST. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. market_id: 824933 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
7 (+7)7
Will Adobe say "3D" during earnings call? - 1765421083
7 (+7)711h ago
Yes 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)

Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on December 10?

0

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. market_id: 894972 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
37 Votes
Community Discussion
1
4 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on December 10? - 1765407928
4 41d ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on December 11?

0

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Dec '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. market_id: 902562 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
38 Votes
Community Discussion
1
2 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on December 11? - 1765412664
2 21d ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)