UMA Disputed Markets Dashboard

Real-time Oracle Voting Analytics for Disputed Polymarket Resolutions

Commit Stage Active

16.96M total votes committed by 656 voters

Time until Reveal Stage
00:00:00
Hours : Minutes : Seconds
17.0M / 17.8M
Committed / Total Stake
Consensus req: 11.57M
$1.56M
24h Volume
18
Markets

Large Unrevealed Voters (>25K tokens)

Token Power
85.8%
14.55M of 16.96M
Voter Share
9.0%
59 of 656 voters

Individual Voters (59)

Disputed Markets Under UMA Review

18 unique markets(6 older versions hidden)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 1749121

Commit Stage Active
635 Votes
Community Discussion
2
157 (+43)76
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? - 1775880217
77 (+22)718h ago
No 59%
(62%🌳47%🌱)
Yes 37%
(36%🌳42%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. market_id: 1910412

Commit Stage Active
641 Votes
Community Discussion
2
40 (+12)19
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? - 1775970837
20 (+6)196h ago
Yes 76%
(76%🌳75%🌱)
No 10%
(6%🌳25%🌱)
Market Icon

The PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final is scheduled for April 11, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the official English broadcast of the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mentions of the term originating from in-game audio—even in-game characters, the in-game announcer, or player voice comms—will also count toward this market's resolution. If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video WILL count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the official English livestream of the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final at https://www.youtube.com/@pgl. market_id: 1891674

Commit Stage Active
639 Votes
Community Discussion
2
86 (+16)46
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? - 1775939249
40 (+9)401h ago
Yes 54%
(50%🌳67%🌱)
No 46%
(50%🌳33%🌱)
117% deviation
Market Icon

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Greater Beirut on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Greater Beirut. For the purposes of this market, “Greater Beirut” refers to the continuous urbanized zone that encompasses all of the Beirut Governorate and the adjacent coastal and suburban municipalities of the Mount Lebanon Governorate. For this market, the geographic boundaries as defined in the map “Location of the Greater Beirut Area” (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Beirut-3ffb23044f.png) from Faour & Mhawej (2014), Mapping Urban Transitions in the Greater Beirut Area Using Different Space Platforms (https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/3/3/941) will be used. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory based on the referenced map, it will not qualify. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the specified territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. market_id: 1705398

Commit Stage Active
637 Votes
Community Discussion
2
37 (+6)18
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026? - 1775989443
18 (+3)1713h ago
Yes 71%
(75%🌳50%🌱)
No 18%
(8%🌳50%🌱)
Market Icon

In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 8, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. market_id: 1360751

Commit Stage Active
637 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+3)9
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? - 1775949037
9 (+3)914h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between AC Nagano Parceiro and Júbilo Iwata, scheduled for April 12 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if AC Nagano Parceiro and Júbilo Iwata combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 1601808

Commit Stage Active
636 Votes
Community Discussion
1
6 (+3)6
AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5 - 1775973777
6 (+3)614h ago
No 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between AC Nagano Parceiro and Júbilo Iwata, scheduled for April 12 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if AC Nagano Parceiro and Júbilo Iwata combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 1601809

Commit Stage Active
637 Votes
Community Discussion
1
7 (+3)7
AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 3.5 - 1775973837
7 (+3)714h ago
No 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

In the upcoming match between Top Esports and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 11 at 7:20AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 21 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. market_id: 1946024

Commit Stage Active
638 Votes
Community Discussion
2
8 3
Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 1? - 1775489363
4 36d ago
Yes 50%
(50%🌳)
No 25%
(25%🌳)
Market Icon

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cody Williams records more than 4.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Cody Williams records 4.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com. market_id: 1942485

Commit Stage Active
634 Votes
Community Discussion
1
6 (+3)6
Cody Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 - 1775879557
6 (+3)614h ago
Yes 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game between Gamba Ōsaka and Cerezo Ōsaka, scheduled for April 11 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Gamba Ōsaka and Cerezo Ōsaka each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 1598594

Commit Stage Active
633 Votes
Community Discussion
1
8 (+3)8
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: Both Teams to Score - 1775896741
8 (+3)814h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game between Gamba Ōsaka and Cerezo Ōsaka, scheduled for April 11 at 3:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Gamba Ōsaka and Cerezo Ōsaka combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 1598590

Commit Stage Active
636 Votes
Community Discussion
1
8 (+3)8
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5 - 1775896741
8 (+3)814h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between KT Wiz and Lotte Giants, scheduled for April 8 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Wiz" if the KT Wiz win the game. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. market_id: 1828986

Commit Stage Active
635 Votes
Community Discussion
1
7 (+3)7
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants - 1775894403
7 (+3)714h ago
No 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market. If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 1939890

Commit Stage Active
635 Votes
Community Discussion
1
5 (+3)5
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? - 1775902739
5 (+3)514h ago
No 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. market_id: 1912521

Commit Stage Active
636 Votes
Community Discussion
1
7 (+3)7
UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) - 1775948421
7 (+3)714h ago
50/50 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. market_id: 568687

Commit Stage Active
636 Votes
Community Discussion
1
7 (+2)7
Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament? - 1775857245
7 (+2)714h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. market_id: 568655

Commit Stage Active
636 Votes
Community Discussion
1
7 (+2)7
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament? - 1775857357
7 (+2)714h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)

Will Player AD win the 2026 Masters tournament?

0

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. market_id: 575826

Commit Stage Active
636 Votes
Community Discussion
2
14 (+4)7
Will Player J win the 2026 Masters tournament? - 1775858481
7 (+2)714h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)

Will Player J win the 2026 Masters tournament?

0

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. market_id: 568698

Commit Stage Active
635 Votes
Community Discussion
2
14 (+4)7
Will Player J win the 2026 Masters tournament? - 1775858481
7 (+2)714h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)