UMA Disputed Markets Dashboard

Real-time Oracle Voting Analytics for Disputed Polymarket Resolutions

Commit Stage Active

227.8K total votes committed by 32 voters

Time until Reveal Stage
00:00:00
Hours : Minutes : Seconds
227.8K
Total Committed Votes
$462.3K
24h Volume
4
Markets

Large Unrevealed Voters (>25K tokens)

Token Power
65.8%
149.8K of 227.8K
Voter Share
9.4%
3 of 32 voters

Individual Voters (3)

Disputed Markets Under UMA Review

4 unique markets(1 older version hidden)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. market_id: 663599 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
32 Votes
Community Discussion
3
75 (+3)31
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9? - 1762898489
32 (+2)31Recently
No 67%
(87%🌳43%🌱)
Yes 30%
(7%🌳57%🌱)
144% deviation

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 11?

0

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Nov '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. market_id: 669647 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
32 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+1)7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11? - 1762924707
9 (+1)714h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11?

0

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Nov '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. market_id: 669655 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
32 Votes
Community Discussion
1
9 (+1)7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11? - 1762924707
9 (+1)714h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

0

This market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) of the first day which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. A qualifying announcement date will determine this market's resolution, even if OPM lists a later reopening date (e.g., if OPM announces on November 10 that the government will reopen on November 11, the market will resolve to November 10). Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/). market_id: 673597 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.

Commit Stage Active
32 Votes
Community Discussion
1
11 (+11)11
Will the government shutdown end November 12? - 1763010004
11 (+11)11Recently
No 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)