2026 Taiwanese local elections · live market odds

KMT favoured in 13 of 22 races

  • Favoured now: KMT 13 · DPP 8 · Independent 1 (won in 2022: KMT 14, DPP 5, TPP 2, Independent 1)
  • Which party wins the most races? KMT 81% ($253K traded)
  • 6 seats would change party: (KMT → DPP), (KMT → DPP), (KMT → DPP), (KMT → DPP), (DPP → KMT), (TPP → KMT).
  • Closest race: , Lee Shu-chuan 49% vs Su Chiao-hui 48%.
  • No new polls may be published from Wednesday, Nov 18 (10-day blackout before the vote, Civil Servants Election and Recall Act, Art. 53).
Polls close in
days
hours
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Saturday, Nov 28 · polling stations close at 4 pm local time

Map

Tap a city or county to open its race
KinmenMatsuPenghu
KMTIndependentDPPSolid = safe, faint = toss-upBoxes = outlying islands, enlargedOutlined = would change party

Who is favoured where

22 mayors and magistrates
Market favourite now
Won in 2022
PartyFavouredExpected2022
Kuomintang1311.514
Democratic Progressive Party88.55
Taiwan People's Party00.22
Independent11.61

All 22 races

Market favourite, last result and our polling average. Open a race for the whole field.
  • North
  • Central
  • South
  • East
  • Islands