2026 Israeli legislative election · 120 seats

Netanyahu bloc 7 seats short of 61

Likud and Yashar are level for largest list (22.7 vs 21.8 seats in the polling average); Opposition bloc 53.

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Next prime minister: Gadi Eizenkot 48% · Benjamin Netanyahu 31% · Naftali Bennett 16% ($45.9M traded)
Largest list: Yashar 59% · Likud 42% ($656K traded)
Either bloc reaches 61? Yes 17% · More seats: Bibi 55%
Projection from 35 polls by 8 pollsters, Sep 14 to Oct 12; the seat markets put the Netanyahu bloc at 55.9.

Polls close in

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Tuesday, Oct 27 · polling stations close at 10 pm Israel time

Projected Knesset

From the polling average; lists averaging under 4 seats left out

Likud 24Yashar 23Together 12Democrats 10Shas 8Yisrael Beiteinu 8UTJ 8Otzma 8Joint List 8RZP–Zehut 6Ra'am 5

54 seats — 7 short of 61.

Projected seats from the polling average. Arithmetic only: who would sit with whom is up to the parties.

Seats out of 120. 3.25% threshold: a list needs about 4 seats’ worth of votes to win any. Tap a row for its seat market.

Polls	30d	Projected	Market	Largest	In gov’t	2022
22.7	▼0.6	24	23.8	42%	35%	32
21.8	▼1.3	23	24	59%	56%	new
11.3	▼0.8	12	12.8	<1%	36%	24
9.1	▼0.5	10	10	<1%	54%	4
7.9	0	8	8.8	<1%	38%	11
7.9	▼0.3	8	8	—	51%	6
7.7	0	8	7.8	—	40%	7
7.7	0	8	8.3	<1%	38%	6
7.6	▲0.6	8	8.1	—	4%	5
6	▲0.9	6	5.4	—	40%	7
5.1	0	5	5.1	—	19%	5
2.9	0	0	1.8	—	30%	new
0	▼0.4	0	—	—	6%	12
0	0	0	—	—	—	new
—	—	0	—	—	39%	new

33 markets, most traded first